VAR:EURONEXT OSLOVar Energi ASA Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
CHF 18.50
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Varia US Properties trades at CHF 18.5, sitting just above its 20‑day SMA of 18.18 but below the 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs (~19.5), signaling a neutral price bias. The RSI of 48.7 confirms the lack of strong momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive and the MACD signal is deemed bullish, suggesting a modest upside in the near term. Volume is increasing and the stock is hovering between a support of 17.40 and resistance of 18.95, offering a tight trading range. Volatility is high at roughly 30% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.31 indicates limited sensitivity to broader market moves. Fundamentally, the forward P/E of 9.3 and price‑to‑book of 0.67 are well below the industry average P/E of 32.5, flagging the stock as potentially undervalued.
However, the company carries a heavy debt load (Debt‑to‑Equity ≈ 218) and posted a negative profit margin of ‑7.3%, with a trailing EPS of ‑0.64, raising concerns about earnings sustainability. The dividend yield is attractive at 10.8% with a low payout ratio of 17%, but free cash flow is negative, making dividend sustainability uncertain. A max drawdown of ‑42.5% and a projected upside of 54% to the analyst target price of 28.54 suggest a high risk‑high reward profile. Overall, the valuation appears compelling, but the balance sheet and earnings weakness temper enthusiasm.
However, the company carries a heavy debt load (Debt‑to‑Equity ≈ 218) and posted a negative profit margin of ‑7.3%, with a trailing EPS of ‑0.64, raising concerns about earnings sustainability. The dividend yield is attractive at 10.8% with a low payout ratio of 17%, but free cash flow is negative, making dividend sustainability uncertain. A max drawdown of ‑42.5% and a projected upside of 54% to the analyst target price of 28.54 suggest a high risk‑high reward profile. Overall, the valuation appears compelling, but the balance sheet and earnings weakness temper enthusiasm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram with increasing volume
- Price near immediate support/resistance zone
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap (low P/E and P/B)
- Attractive dividend yield despite earnings loss
- Upside potential of >50% to target price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio and negative earnings
- Uncertain dividend sustainability
- Potential for asset appreciation in US multifamily market
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-9.30%
Profit Margin-7.35%
P/E Ratio9.3
ROE-2.42%
ROA2.20%
Debt/Equity218.12
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash FlowCHF20.7M
Free Cash FlowCHF-6089718
Industry P/E32.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI48.7
SupportCHF 17.40
ResistanceCHF 18.95
MA 20CHF 18.18
MA 50CHF 19.49
MA 200CHF 19.49
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Target PriceCHF 28.54
Upside/Downside54.28%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield10.81%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.31
Volatility29.44%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.